Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reipas win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for KTP had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reipas win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.34%) and 3-2 (4.98%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-2 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.