Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for TPS had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest TPS win was 2-1 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.