Club Friendlies 3
Jan 23, 2026 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Paavo Nurmi Stadion
  • 74' goal
  • Harjanne Rasmus 74' goal
  • goal 5'
  • goal T. Ali-Abubakar 5'
  • goal 67'
  • goal Valentin Purosalo 67'

TPS vs Haka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 4.00pm
EuPa 3 - 1 TPS

Haka

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 1.15pm
Lahti 0 - 0 Haka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for TPS had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest TPS win was 2-1 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

TPS 28.57% (+0.13)
Draw 23.65%
Haka 47.78% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.4% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.1% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 60.89% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 39.11% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 39.57% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 60.43% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 24.95% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 75.05% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

TPS 29.49% (+0.07)
Draw 35.54% (+0.37)
Haka 34.97% (-0.44)

Team To Score First

TPS 45.47% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.74%
Haka 49.79% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 68.48% (+0.21)
Equal 8 10.07% (-0.02)
Under 8 21.45% (-0.18)
Over 9 57.29% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 31.52% (-0.20)
Over 10.5 45.9% (+0.20)
Under 10.5 54.1% (-0.20)

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 35.13% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 64.87% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 14.62% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.38% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.23% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.77% (-0.02)

Haka Goals

Over 0.5 79.13% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 20.87% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 51.14% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 48.86% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 26.56% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 73.44% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 11.96% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 88.04% (+0.15)

Score analysis

TPS 28.58%
Draw 23.66%
Haka 47.78%
TPS
2-1 @ 6.57% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.94% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.98% (+0.02)
Total : 28.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.66%
Haka
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-1 @ 7.9% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5%
Other @ 11.71% (-0.14)
Total : 47.78%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Oct 16, 2020 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luiyi de Lucas 11' goal
  • Medo 27' yellowcard
  • Salomo Ojala 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos de Brito 57'
  • goal Rasmus Holma 64'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2020 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jere Koponen 16' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Holma 25' goal
  • Albijon Muzaci 52' yellowcard
  • Aldayr Hernandez 89' goal
  • goal Eero Markkanen 17'
  • goal Samuel Chidi 31'
  • yellowcard Anton Popovits 43'
  • goal Eero Markkanen 64'