Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for TPS had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest TPS win was 2-1 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.