Club Friendlies 3
Jan 23, 2026 11.00am
Paavo Nurmi Stadion

TPS vs Haka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 4.00pm
EuPa 3 - 1 TPS

Haka

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Haka win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for TPS has a probability of 32.65% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest TPS win is 2-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.91%).

Result

TPS 32.65%
Draw 23.2%
Haka 44.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

64%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.28%
Under 1.5 16.72%
Over 2.5 63.39%
Under 2.5 36.61%
Over 3.5 42.72%
Under 3.5 57.28%
Over 4.5 27.01%
Under 4.5 72.99%

First Half Winner

TPS 30.93%
Draw 35.05%
Haka 34.03%

Team To Score First

TPS 47.75%
No Goal 4%
Haka 48.25%

Corners

Over 8 68.14%
Equal 8 9.47%
Under 8 22.4%
Over 9 57.68%
Equal 9 10.45%
Under 9 31.86%
Over 10.5 47.03%
Under 10.5 52.97%

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 40.11%
Under 1.5 59.89%
Over 2.5 18.34%
Under 2.5 81.66%
Over 3.5 7%
Under 3.5 93%

Haka Goals

Over 0.5 77.69%
Under 0.5 22.31%
Over 1.5 49.71%
Under 1.5 50.29%
Over 2.5 25.49%
Under 2.5 74.51%
Over 3.5 11.09%
Under 3.5 88.91%

Score analysis

TPS 32.65%
Draw 23.2%
Haka 44.15%
TPS
2-1 @ 7.04%
1-0 @ 5.56%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 1.91%
Other @ 6.63%
Total : 32.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 4%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.2%
Haka
1-2 @ 8.23%
0-1 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 5.05%
2-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.49%
Other @ 10.72%
Total : 44.15%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Oct 16, 2020 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luiyi de Lucas 11' goal
  • Medo 27' yellowcard
  • Salomo Ojala 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos de Brito 57'
  • goal Rasmus Holma 64'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2020 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jere Koponen 16' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Holma 25' goal
  • Albijon Muzaci 52' yellowcard
  • Aldayr Hernandez 89' goal
  • goal Eero Markkanen 17'
  • goal Samuel Chidi 31'
  • yellowcard Anton Popovits 43'
  • goal Eero Markkanen 64'