Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • Adam Larsson 39' goal
  • Adam Stroud 68' yellowcard
  • E. Patut 68' yellowcard
  • L. Andersson 78' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 78' yellowcard
  • L. Andersson 79' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pau Juvanteny 63'
  • yellowcard E. Vauhkonen 63'
  • yellowcard Eetu Turkki 70'
  • goal Pau Juvanteny 77'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Talo 81'
  • yellowcard Oscar Häggström 81'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 81'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 82'
  • yellowcard Oscar Häggström 82'

IFK Mariehamn vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
Mariehamn 2 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 4, 2020 4.30pm
TPS 3 - 2 KuPS
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Theodoros Tsirigotis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for TPS had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest TPS win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

IFK Mariehamn 40.39% (-0.71)
Draw 24.24% (-0.03)
TPS 35.36% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.65% (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.87% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 18.13% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 61.16% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 38.84% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 39.48% (+1.08)
Under 3.5 60.52% (-1.08)
Over 4.5 24.44% (+0.93)
Under 4.5 75.56% (-0.93)

First Half Winner

IFK Mariehamn 31.53% (+0.29)
Draw 39.83% (+0.38)
TPS 28.64% (-0.67)

Team To Score First

IFK Mariehamn 51.28% (+0.65)
No Goal 4.93% (-0.09)
TPS 43.79% (-0.58)

Corners

Over 8 63.48% (+0.50)
Equal 8 10.61% (-0.13)
Under 8 25.91% (-0.38)
Over 9 52.18% (+0.59)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.09)
Under 9 36.52% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 41.13% (+0.64)
Under 10.5 58.87% (-0.64)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 1.5 45.59% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 54.41% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 21.83% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 78.17% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 8.85% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.15% (-0.06)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 71.33% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 28.67% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 41.25% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 58.75% (-0.85)
Over 2.5 18.88% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 81.12% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 7.21% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 92.79% (-0.44)

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 40.38%
Draw 24.24%
TPS 35.36%
IFK Mariehamn
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.32)
Other @ 8.47% (+0.09)
Total : 40.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.48% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.38% (-0.03)
Total : 24.24%
TPS
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.21)
0-1 @ 6.35% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.68% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.99% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 3.38% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.15)
Other @ 6.83% (+0.47)
Total : 35.36%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Sep 14, 2020 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aldayr Hernandez 48' yellowcard
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 84' goal
  • yellowcard Niilo Maenpaa 23'
  • goal Dmytro Bilonog 68'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Bilonog 72'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 7
Aug 16, 2020 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Peter Makrillos 34' goal
  • Frankline Okoye 81' yellowcard
  • Peter Makrillos 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Masahudu Alhassan 27'
  • yellowcard Jonni Peraaho 61'
  • yellowcard Sami Rahmonen 90'+2'