Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
Wiklöf Holding Arena

IFK Mariehamn vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
Mariehamn 2 - 0 Oulu

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 4, 2020 4.30pm
TPS 3 - 2 KuPS

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for TPS has a probability of 34.64% and a draw has a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest TPS win is 1-2 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.67%).

Result

IFK Mariehamn 41.09%
Draw 24.26%
TPS 34.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.01%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.6%
Under 1.5 18.4%
Over 2.5 60.89%
Under 2.5 39.11%
Over 3.5 38.4%
Under 3.5 61.6%
Over 4.5 23.52%
Under 4.5 76.48%

First Half Winner

IFK Mariehamn 31.25%
Draw 39.45%
TPS 29.3%

Team To Score First

IFK Mariehamn 50.63%
No Goal 5.01%
TPS 44.36%

Corners

Over 8 62.98%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 26.29%
Over 9 51.59%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 37.02%
Over 10.5 40.5%
Under 10.5 59.5%

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 1.5 45.7%
Under 1.5 54.3%
Over 2.5 21.95%
Under 2.5 78.05%
Over 3.5 8.79%
Under 3.5 91.21%

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 70.62%
Under 0.5 29.38%
Over 1.5 40.41%
Under 1.5 59.59%
Over 2.5 18.21%
Under 2.5 81.79%
Over 3.5 6.77%
Under 3.5 93.23%

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 41.08%
Draw 24.26%
TPS 34.65%
IFK Mariehamn
2-1 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 3.34%
Other @ 8.38%
Total : 41.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.26%
TPS
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.65%
Other @ 6.36%
Total : 34.65%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Sep 14, 2020 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aldayr Hernandez 48' yellowcard
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 84' goal
  • yellowcard Niilo Maenpaa 23'
  • goal Dmytro Bilonog 68'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Bilonog 72'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 7
Aug 16, 2020 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Peter Makrillos 34' goal
  • Frankline Okoye 81' yellowcard
  • Peter Makrillos 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Masahudu Alhassan 27'
  • yellowcard Jonni Peraaho 61'
  • yellowcard Sami Rahmonen 90'+2'