Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for TPS had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest TPS win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.