Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.