Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 1-2 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.