Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.