Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 70.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Ekenas IF win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.