Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 22.66% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.