Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.