Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.