Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 18, 2026 12.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Otto Hannula 59' yellowcard
  • Max Herman Bjurstrom 60' yellowcard
  • S. Ylätupa 60' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 60' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • J. Latonen 75' yellowcard
  • Danny Pérez 75' yellowcard
  • V. Hänninen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 44'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 52'
  • yellowcard Toivo Mero 61'
  • yellowcard Mads Borchers 61'
  • yellowcard Teemu Pukki 61'
  • yellowcard 61'
  • yellowcard Jere Kallinen 72'
  • goal M. Bogićević 79'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard L. Möller 83'
  • yellowcard Kaius Simojoki 84'

Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.00pm
KuPS 1 - 0 Gnistan
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
HJK Helsinki 0 - 1 Oulu
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Teemu Pukki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.68%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 2-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Gnistan 31.86% (+1.97)
Draw 23.59% (+1.33)
HJK Helsinki 44.55% (-3.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.09% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.48% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 17.52% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 62.98% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 37.02% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 41.04% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 58.96% (+1.06)
Over 4.5 25.9% (-0.92)
Under 4.5 74.1% (+0.91)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 26.1% (+1.68)
Draw 35.68% (-0.21)
HJK Helsinki 38.21% (-1.50)

Team To Score First

Gnistan 44.97% (+5.18)
No Goal 4.9% (+0.57)
HJK Helsinki 50.13% (-5.74)

Corners

Over 8 61.35% (-5.59)
Equal 8 10.55% (+0.27)
Under 8 28.1% (+5.34)
Over 9 50.33% (-5.33)
Equal 9 11.02% (-0.26)
Under 9 38.65% (+5.59)
Over 10.5 39.71% (-4.62)
Under 10.5 60.29% (+4.62)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 38.62% (+2.17)
Under 1.5 61.38% (-2.17)
Over 2.5 16.3% (+1.08)
Under 2.5 83.7% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 5.71% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 94.29% (-0.44)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 77.28% (-1.85)
Under 0.5 22.72% (+1.84)
Over 1.5 50.18% (-2.15)
Under 1.5 49.82% (+2.15)
Over 2.5 25.85% (-2.06)
Under 2.5 74.15% (+2.07)
Over 3.5 12.1% (-1.26)
Under 3.5 87.9% (+1.27)

Score analysis

Gnistan 31.85%
Draw 23.59%
HJK Helsinki 44.56%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 7.44% (+0.49)
1-0 @ 5.94% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 4.33% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 3.44% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.23% (+0.40)
Other @ 5.32% (+0.29)
Total : 31.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.99% (+0.41)
0-0 @ 4.9% (+0.57)
3-3 @ 1.77% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.16)
Total : 23.59%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.42)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.61)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.60)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.11)
Other @ 11.71% (-1.42)
Total : 44.56%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Nov 3, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 3, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2025 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Apr 22, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Daniel O'Shaughnessy 58' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ring 86' yellowcard
  • goal Joakim Latonen 59'
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 71'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 12, 2024 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Jukka Raitala 56' yellowcard
  • goal Momodou Sarr 3' (OG)
  • goal Topi Keskinen 36'
  • yellowcard Aapo Halme 42'
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 82'
  • goal Stanislav Baranov 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 19
May 22, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lucas Lingman 13' goal
  • yellowcard Momodou Sarr 27'
  • yellowcard Joakim Latonen 29'
  • yellowcard Jukka Raitala 60'
  • yellowcard Teemu Penninkangas 65'
  • yellowcard David Agbo 68'
  • redcard David Agbo 76'