Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for SJK had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (6.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.