Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (4.97%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.