Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.