Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.