Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.