Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.