Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for GrIFK had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.24%) , while for a GrIFK win it was 1-2 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.