Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.