Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.