Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 24, 2026 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Vilmer Rönnberg 4' goal
  • Jonathan Muzinga 27' goal
  • Simon Lindholm 45'+2' goal
  • Jabir Ali 62' yellowcard
  • Antti-Ville Räisänen 62' yellowcard
  • Jabir Ali 63' yellowcard
  • Antti-Ville Räisänen 63' yellowcard
  • Jabir Ali 66' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan 79' yellowcard
  • Jabir Ali 79' yellowcard
  • Antti-Ville Räisänen 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesse Kilo 24'
  • yellowcard Jesse Kilo 26'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 46'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 48'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 50'
  • goal Oskari Multala 61'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Baranov 83'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 83'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 84'

Vaasan Palloseura vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Oulu 1 - 0 VPS
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Luka Smyth

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.00pm
Mariehamn 2 - 2 Ilves
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Vaasan Palloseura 35.56% (+0.04)
Draw 25.26% (-0.10)
Ilves 39.13% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.32% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.04% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.56% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 41.44% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 36.07% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 63.93% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 21.07% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 78.93% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Vaasan Palloseura 28.79% (-0.02)
Draw 38.58%
Ilves 32.64% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Vaasan Palloseura 46.62% (-0.06)
No Goal 5.66% (-0.04)
Ilves 47.72% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.98%
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 27.14%
Over 9 50.53% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 38.02%
Over 10.5 39.46% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.54%

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 1.5 40.19% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.81% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 17.44% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.56% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.04% (-0.02)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 73.83% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.17% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 43.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.61% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.99% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.61% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.39% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 35.56%
Draw 25.27%
Ilves 39.14%
Vaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 8.07%
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71%
Other @ 5.67% (+0.04)
Total : 35.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 25.27%
Ilves
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.32% (+0.04)
Total : 39.14%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Jul 12, 2025 3.00pm
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 2, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Sauli Vaisanen 41'
  • yellowcard Maksim Stjopin 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Martti Haukioja 83' yellowcard
  • goal Joona Veteli 48'
  • goal Marius Soderback 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Jul 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Santeri Haarala 10' goal
  • Otso Virtanen 13' redcard
  • Juhani Pikkarainen 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Oiva Jukkola 62' yellowcard
  • Joona Veteli 76' goal
  • Anton Popovits 90' goal
  • goal Teemu Hytonen 34'
  • goal Teemu Hytonen 45'
  • yellowcard Antti-Ville Raisanen 59'
  • yellowcard Prosper Ahiabu 67'
  • yellowcard Lauri-Eemil Vetri 75'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 7, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kaarlen kentta
  • Mads Borchers 41' goal
  • Prosper Ahiabu 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joona Veteli 35'
  • goal Doni Arifi 73'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Seydine N'Diaye 45' yellowcard
  • Djair Parfitt-Williams 61' yellowcard
  • Umar Mohammed 65' redcard
  • Felipe Aspegren 90' yellowcard
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikko Pitkanen 10'
  • goal Aapo Maenpaa 11' (OG)
  • goal Yevgeni Bashkirov 15'
  • yellowcard Juhani Pikkarainen 61'