Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Sundsvall had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sundsvall win was 0-1 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.