Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 7.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 1-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 0-1 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.