Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs KuPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
Inter Turku 2 - 0 Ilves

KuPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
HJK Helsinki 0 - 2 KuPS

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for KuPS has a probability of 24.2% and a draw has a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest KuPS win is 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).

Result

Ilves 52.02%
Draw 23.79%
KuPS 24.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.55%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.31%
Under 1.5 20.69%
Over 2.5 57.61%
Under 2.5 42.39% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 35.69% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 64.31% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 21.94% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 78.06% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ilves 42.61%
Draw 37.39%
KuPS 20%

Team To Score First

Ilves 59.91% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.7% (+0.01)
KuPS 34.39%

Corners

Over 8 55.83% (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.16% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.02% (+0.06)
Over 9 44.63% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 44.17% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 34.26% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 65.74% (+0.05)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 52.64% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.36% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 27.02% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.98% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 11.85% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.15% (+0.02)

KuPS Goals

Over 0.5 60.79%
Under 0.5 39.21%
Over 1.5 29.28%
Under 1.5 70.72%
Over 2.5 11.19%
Under 2.5 88.81%
Over 3.5 3.49% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.51% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ilves 52.01%
Draw 23.79%
KuPS 24.21%
Ilves
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.44% (-0.01)
Total : 52.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51%
0-0 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 23.79%
KuPS
1-2 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.46% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.08% (-0.01)
Total : 24.21%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 16, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 14, 2025 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 14, 2025 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jerry Voutilainen 78' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Popovits 31'
  • goal Jardell Kanga 44'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 55'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
May 21, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Oiva Jukkola 56' goal
  • Matias Rale 70' goal
  • Marius Soderback 89' goal
  • yellowcard Jaakko Oksanen 85'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Sep 24, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Oiva Jukkola 37' goal
  • Otso Virtanen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otto Ruoppi 31'
  • yellowcard Seth Saarinen 54'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 18, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Savon Sanomat Areena
  • Axel Vidjeskog 10' yellowcard
  • Petteri Pennanen 73' goal
  • Matias Siltanen 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juhani Pikkarainen 26'
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 86'
  • yellowcard Isaac Atanga 90'+4'