Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.