Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Faris Krkalic 20' yellowcard
  • Faris Krkalic 21' yellowcard
  • O. Pettersson 46' yellowcard
  • Jesse Kilo 69' yellowcard
  • Yiandro Raap 69' yellowcard
  • Stanislav Baranov 84' yellowcard
  • Teemu Hytönen 90'+2' goal
  • goal Petteri Pennanen 12'
  • goal Jaime Moreno 43'
  • goal Bob Nii Armah 57'
  • yellowcard Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba 64'
  • yellowcard N. Kujasalo 73'
  • yellowcard Saku Savolainen 84'
  • yellowcard Arttu Heinonen 84'

Ilves vs KuPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
Inter Turku 2 - 0 Ilves
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

KuPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
HJK Helsinki 0 - 2 KuPS
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jaime Moreno

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Ilves 50.03% (-2.00)
Draw 23.92% (+0.14)
KuPS 26.05% (+1.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.02% (+0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.38% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 20.62% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 57.84% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 42.16% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 36.49% (+0.81)
Under 3.5 63.51% (-0.81)
Over 4.5 22.33% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 77.67% (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Ilves 43.67% (+1.07)
Draw 37.13% (-0.26)
KuPS 19.2% (-0.81)

Team To Score First

Ilves 58.93% (-0.98)
No Goal 5.69% (-0.01)
KuPS 35.38% (+1.00)

Corners

Over 8 56.27% (+0.45)
Equal 8 11.48% (+0.33)
Under 8 32.25% (-0.78)
Over 9 44.76% (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.52% (+0.33)
Under 9 43.73% (-0.45)
Over 10.5 34.13% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 65.87% (+0.14)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 51.35% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 48.65% (+1.29)
Over 2.5 26.05% (-0.97)
Under 2.5 73.95% (+0.97)
Over 3.5 11.43% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 88.57% (+0.42)

KuPS Goals

Over 0.5 62.49% (+1.71)
Under 0.5 37.51% (-1.71)
Over 1.5 30.99% (+1.71)
Under 1.5 69.01% (-1.71)
Over 2.5 12.26% (+1.08)
Under 2.5 87.74% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 3.97% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 96.03% (-0.49)

Score analysis

Ilves 50.03%
Draw 23.92%
KuPS 26.05%
Ilves
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.28)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.37)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.46)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.52)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.07)
Other @ 11.07% (-0.37)
Total : 50.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.05)
Total : 23.92%
KuPS
0-1 @ 6.07% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 6.06% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.30)
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.24)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.61% (+0.53)
Total : 26.05%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 16, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 14, 2025 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 14, 2025 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jerry Voutilainen 78' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Popovits 31'
  • goal Jardell Kanga 44'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 55'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
May 21, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Oiva Jukkola 56' goal
  • Matias Rale 70' goal
  • Marius Soderback 89' goal
  • yellowcard Jaakko Oksanen 85'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Sep 24, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Oiva Jukkola 37' goal
  • Otso Virtanen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otto Ruoppi 31'
  • yellowcard Seth Saarinen 54'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 18, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Savon Sanomat Areena
  • Axel Vidjeskog 10' yellowcard
  • Petteri Pennanen 73' goal
  • Matias Siltanen 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juhani Pikkarainen 26'
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 86'
  • yellowcard Isaac Atanga 90'+4'