Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for MP had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest MP win was 1-2 (6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.