Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MP win with a probability of 57.29%. A win for PEPO had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a MP win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.49%) and 1-0 (6.48%). The likeliest PEPO win was 1-2 (5.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%).