Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.