Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 18, 2026 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • E. Patut 45'+3' goal
  • S. Dahlström 55' goal
  • A. Huttunen 69' yellowcard
  • Luke Pearce 69' yellowcard
  • A. Soiniemi 69' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 83' yellowcard
  • A. Lundberg 89' yellowcard
  • goal Otto Tiitinen 22'
  • goal Teemu Hytönen 64'
  • yellowcard Roope Riski 66'
  • yellowcard Roope Riski 67'
  • yellowcard André Raymond 79'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Yiandro Raap 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Yiandro Raap 90'+2'

IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 5.00pm
SJK 3 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 5.00pm
Inter Turku 2 - 1 Ilves
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

IFK Mariehamn 31.92% (+0.25)
Draw 24.72% (-0.34)
Ilves 43.31% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.41% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.5% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 19.5% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 59.24% (+1.18)
Under 2.5 40.76% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 36.95% (+0.77)
Under 3.5 63.05% (-0.77)
Over 4.5 22.32% (+0.72)
Under 4.5 77.68% (-0.71)

First Half Winner

IFK Mariehamn 26.37% (-0.42)
Draw 38.44% (-1.39)
Ilves 35.19% (+1.80)

Team To Score First

IFK Mariehamn 42.08% (-0.81)
No Goal 5.43% (-0.12)
Ilves 52.49% (+0.92)

Corners

Over 8 56.52% (-2.37)
Equal 8 11.21% (+0.30)
Under 8 32.27% (+2.09)
Over 9 45.22% (-2.47)
Equal 9 11.31% (+0.09)
Under 9 43.48% (+2.37)
Over 10.5 34.71% (-2.36)
Under 10.5 65.29% (+2.36)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 1.5 37.3% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 62.7% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 15.72% (+0.57)
Under 2.5 84.28% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 5.36% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 94.64% (-0.25)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 76.4% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 23.6% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 46.81% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 53.19% (-0.39)
Over 2.5 22.8% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 77.2% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 9.13% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 90.87% (-0.22)

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 31.92%
Draw 24.71%
Ilves 43.31%
IFK Mariehamn
2-1 @ 7.44%
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.87% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.3% (+0.21)
Other @ 5.11% (+0.28)
Total : 31.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 6.31% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.03)
Total : 24.71%
Ilves
1-2 @ 8.91% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.23)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.33)
1-3 @ 4.82% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.64% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.52% (+0.13)
Other @ 8.88% (+0.25)
Total : 43.31%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Mar 14, 2026 1.00pm
Tammelan Stadion
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 27, 2025 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 17' goal
  • Niilo Kujasalo 29' goal
  • Niilo Kujasalo 32' yellowcard
  • Jiri Nissinen 40' yellowcard
  • Eemil Toivonen 42' yellowcard
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 61' goal
  • redcard Otso Virtanen 4'
  • goal Tatu Miettunen 54'
  • goal Matias Rale 60'
  • yellowcard Teemu Hytonen 85'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 19
Aug 11, 2024 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Roope Riski 25' goal
  • Santeri Haarala 49' goal
  • Matias Kivikko 56' yellowcard
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dahlstrom 23'
  • yellowcard Pedro Machado 48'
  • yellowcard Michael Fonsell 88'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 28, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 11' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 50' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 62' redcard
  • Patrik Raitanen 81' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Patut 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joona Veteli 13'
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 36'
  • redcard Doni Arifi 40'
  • goal Oiva Jukkola 48'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2023 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Djair Parfitt-Williams 18' goal
  • Santeri Haarala 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jelle van der Heyden 14'
  • goal Mikko Sumusalo 26'