Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.35% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.