Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.