Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Wiklöf Holding Arena

IFK Mariehamn vs Vaasan Palloseura - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Inter Turku 1 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 4.00pm
VPS 3 - 2 Ilves
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Vilmer Rönnberg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura has a probability of 36.22% and a draw has a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win is 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).

Result

IFK Mariehamn 37.84% (+0.15)
Draw 25.94% (-0.01)
Vaasan Palloseura 36.22% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.31% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 22.69% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 54.32% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.68% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.19% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.8% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.29% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.71% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

IFK Mariehamn 28.18%
Draw 41.53% (+0.01)
Vaasan Palloseura 30.29% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

IFK Mariehamn 45.98% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.44% (-0.01)
Vaasan Palloseura 47.58% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.9% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.02)
Under 8 30.5% (-0.09)
Over 9 46.08% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.82% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.1% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 35.04% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 64.96% (-0.13)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 1.5 40.11% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 59.89% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 17.09% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.91% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.76% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.24% (-0.05)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5 71.2% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.8% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.81% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.19% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 16.08% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 83.92% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.5% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 37.85%
Draw 25.95%
Vaasan Palloseura 36.22%
IFK Mariehamn
2-1 @ 8.4% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.68% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.59% (+0.05)
Total : 37.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.95%
Vaasan Palloseura
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.33% (-0.01)
Total : 36.22%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 21, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 18
Aug 1, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 14, 2025 5.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pontus Lindgren 31' yellowcard
  • Daniel Enqvist 43' yellowcard
  • Chukwuemeka Emmanuel Okereke 72' goal
  • goal Olli Jakonen 6'
  • goal Maissa Fall 54'
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 54'
  • goal Olli Jakonen 57'
  • goal Prosper Ahiabu 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yassine El Ouatki 75'
  • goal Maissa Fall 80'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2024 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kaarlen kentta
  • Teemu Hytonen 44' goal
  • Pedro Machado 51' goal
  • goal Daniel Enqvist 79'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 12, 2024 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesper Engstrom 45'
  • yellowcard Samu Alanko 78'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Robin Sid 14' goal
  • Cledson 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Peter Godly Michael 7'
  • yellowcard Peter Godly Michael 27'
  • goal Yevgeni Bashkirov 30'
  • yellowcard Antti-Ville Raisanen 53'