Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.