Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • A. Lundberg 46' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 68' yellowcard
  • Tuomas Koivisto 68' yellowcard
  • S. Ngulube 76' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Lima 22'
  • yellowcard Jabir Ali 65'
  • yellowcard Yassin Daoussi 78'
  • yellowcard Olavi Keturi 78'
  • yellowcard A. Kuek 89'
  • yellowcard Joonas Vahtera 90'

IFK Mariehamn vs Vaasan Palloseura - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Inter Turku 1 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 4.00pm
VPS 3 - 2 Ilves
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Luka Smyth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

IFK Mariehamn 31.75% (-2.75)
Draw 23.9% (-1.05)
Vaasan Palloseura 44.35% (+3.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.05% (+2.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.57% (+2.69)
Under 1.5 17.43% (-2.70)
Over 2.5 62.03% (+3.82)
Under 2.5 37.97% (-3.82)
Over 3.5 40% (+3.90)
Under 3.5 60% (-3.90)
Over 4.5 24.47% (+3.04)
Under 4.5 75.53% (-3.04)

First Half Winner

IFK Mariehamn 24.8% (-3.38)
Draw 35.96% (-5.57)
Vaasan Palloseura 39.24% (+8.96)

Team To Score First

IFK Mariehamn 38.64% (-7.76)
No Goal 4.52% (-1.07)
Vaasan Palloseura 56.84% (+8.82)

Corners

Over 8 59.8% (+1.90)
Equal 8 11.03% (-0.58)
Under 8 29.17% (-1.33)
Over 9 48.4% (+2.33)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.42)
Under 9 40.2% (-1.90)
Over 10.5 37.57% (+2.54)
Under 10.5 62.43% (-2.53)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 1.5 38.53% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 61.47% (+0.57)
Over 2.5 16.72% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.28% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.71% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.29% (-0.03)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5 77.88% (+3.15)
Under 0.5 22.12% (-3.15)
Over 1.5 49.47% (+5.11)
Under 1.5 50.53% (-5.11)
Over 2.5 24.43% (+3.90)
Under 2.5 75.57% (-3.91)
Over 3.5 9.94% (+2.02)
Under 3.5 90.06% (-2.02)

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 31.75%
Draw 23.9%
Vaasan Palloseura 44.33%
IFK Mariehamn
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.68)
1-0 @ 5.87% (-1.09)
2-0 @ 4.04% (-0.76)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.32)
Other @ 5.48% (+0.05)
Total : 31.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.57)
2-2 @ 6.73% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-1.07)
3-3 @ 1.84% (+0.26)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.01)
Total : 23.9%
Vaasan Palloseura
1-2 @ 9.02% (+0.45)
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.58)
0-2 @ 5.93% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 5.17% (+0.67)
2-3 @ 3.85% (+0.52)
0-3 @ 3.63% (+0.44)
Other @ 9.71% (+2.04)
Total : 44.33%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 21, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 18
Aug 1, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 14, 2025 5.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pontus Lindgren 31' yellowcard
  • Daniel Enqvist 43' yellowcard
  • Chukwuemeka Emmanuel Okereke 72' goal
  • goal Olli Jakonen 6'
  • goal Maissa Fall 54'
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 54'
  • goal Olli Jakonen 57'
  • goal Prosper Ahiabu 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yassine El Ouatki 75'
  • goal Maissa Fall 80'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2024 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kaarlen kentta
  • Teemu Hytonen 44' goal
  • Pedro Machado 51' goal
  • goal Daniel Enqvist 79'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 12, 2024 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesper Engstrom 45'
  • yellowcard Samu Alanko 78'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Robin Sid 14' goal
  • Cledson 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Peter Godly Michael 7'
  • yellowcard Peter Godly Michael 27'
  • goal Yevgeni Bashkirov 30'
  • yellowcard Antti-Ville Raisanen 53'