Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.41% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.