Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • Herman Sjögrell 32' goal
  • Herman Sjögrell 54' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • V. Vuorinen 68' yellowcard
  • Rudi Vikström 68' yellowcard
  • Jim Myrevik 68' yellowcard
  • Adam Vidjeskog 82' yellowcard
  • goal Albijon Muzaci 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 61'
  • yellowcard 62'
  • yellowcard Lasse Ikonen 83'
  • yellowcard S. Anini 83'
  • goal Theodoros Tsirigotis 90'+1'

Jaro vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 5.00pm
SJK 1 - 1 Jaro
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 4.00pm
TPS 1 - 1 Gnistan
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Theodoros Tsirigotis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Jaro 35.8% (-2.03)
Draw 24.6% (-0.09)
TPS 39.61% (+2.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.33% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.74% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 19.26% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 59.27% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 40.73% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 36.31% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 63.69% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 21.59% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 78.41% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Jaro 29.09% (-1.34)
Draw 37.58% (-0.04)
TPS 33.33% (+1.38)

Team To Score First

Jaro 44.49% (-2.84)
No Goal 5.13%
TPS 50.38% (+2.85)

Corners

Over 8 59.13% (-0.41)
Equal 8 11.29% (+0.05)
Under 8 29.58% (+0.36)
Over 9 47.54% (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.03)
Under 9 40.86% (+0.40)
Over 10.5 36.6% (-0.44)
Under 10.5 63.4% (+0.44)

Jaro Goals

Over 1.5 40.27% (-1.72)
Under 1.5 59.73% (+1.72)
Over 2.5 17.52% (-1.34)
Under 2.5 82.48% (+1.35)
Over 3.5 5.83% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 94.17% (+0.49)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 74.22% (+1.21)
Under 0.5 25.78% (-1.20)
Over 1.5 44.34% (+1.37)
Under 1.5 55.66% (-1.37)
Over 2.5 20.27% (+0.93)
Under 2.5 79.73% (-0.93)
Over 3.5 8.23% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 91.77% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Jaro 35.79%
Draw 24.6%
TPS 39.61%
Jaro
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.29)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.31)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.28)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.25)
Other @ 5.57% (-0.47)
Total : 35.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.69% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 24.6%
TPS
1-2 @ 8.63% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 7.09% (+0.47)
0-2 @ 5.53% (+0.50)
1-3 @ 4.17% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.3% (+0.31)
2-3 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.97% (+0.51)
Total : 39.61%