Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.