Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Jakobstads Centralplan

Jaro vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 5.00pm
SJK 1 - 1 Jaro
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Luca Weckström

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 4.00pm
TPS 1 - 1 Gnistan
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jaro win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for TPS has a probability of 37.44% and a draw has a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest TPS win is 1-2 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result

Jaro 37.87% (-1.50)
Draw 24.69% (-0.05)
TPS 37.44% (+1.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.84% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.94% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 19.06% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 59.76% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 40.24% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 36.68% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 63.32% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 21.9% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 78.1% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Jaro 30.43%
Draw 37.61%
TPS 31.95%

Team To Score First

Jaro 47.34% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.11% (-0.05)
TPS 47.55% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.54%
Equal 8 11.24%
Under 8 29.22%
Over 9 47.97%
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 40.46%
Over 10.5 37.04%
Under 10.5 62.96%

Jaro Goals

Over 1.5 42.07% (-1.18)
Under 1.5 57.93% (+1.18)
Over 2.5 18.91% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 81.09% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 6.33% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 93.67% (+0.38)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 73.01% (+1.10)
Under 0.5 26.99% (-1.09)
Over 1.5 42.97% (+1.40)
Under 1.5 57.03% (-1.40)
Over 2.5 19.33% (+1.03)
Under 2.5 80.67% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 7.73% (+0.53)
Under 3.5 92.27% (-0.53)

Score analysis

Jaro 37.86%
Draw 24.69%
TPS 37.44%
Jaro
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.19)
Other @ 6.06% (-0.40)
Total : 37.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.65% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.73% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.27% (+0.02)
Total : 24.69%
TPS
1-2 @ 8.49% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 6.6% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.02% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 3.99% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 2.98% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.9% (+0.09)
Other @ 7.46% (+0.51)
Total : 37.44%