Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Jaro win was 1-2 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.