Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.