Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.