Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.