Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.72% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.