Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 10, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
HT Lahden Stadion
  • Martim Ferreira 20' goal

Lahti vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lahti

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 0 Lahti
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Momodou Sarr

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Mariehamn 0 - 1 VPS
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lahti win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw has a probability of 22.72% and a win for IFK Mariehamn has a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it is 1-2 (5.75%).

Result

Lahti 55.33%
Draw 22.72%
IFK Mariehamn 21.96% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.32% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.93% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 19.07% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 59.27% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 40.73% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 36.35% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 63.65% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 22.27% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 77.73% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Lahti 43.67%
Draw 36.87%
IFK Mariehamn 19.46%

Team To Score First

Lahti 61.02% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.92% (+0.02)
IFK Mariehamn 34.06%

Corners

Over 8 64.95%
Equal 8 10.81%
Under 8 24.24%
Over 9 53.26%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 35.05%
Over 10.5 41.73%
Under 10.5 58.27%

Lahti Goals

Over 1.5 55.77% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 44.23% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 29.34% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 70.66% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.4% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 87.6% (+0.06)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 60.26% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 39.74% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27.74% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 72.26% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.54% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.46% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.78% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.22% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Lahti 55.33%
Draw 22.71%
IFK Mariehamn 21.96%
Lahti
2-1 @ 10.37% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.88% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.32%
3-0 @ 5.47% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 12.25% (-0.07)
Total : 55.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.71%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 5.75% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.63% (-0.04)
Total : 21.96%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Sep 19, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Lahden Stadion
  • Samuel Pasanen 8' goal
  • Felix Strauss 13' goal
  • Felix Strauss 55' yellowcard
  • Otso Koskinen 90' yellowcard
  • Dylan Fox 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dahlstrom 26'
  • yellowcard Robin Sid 75'
  • goal Robin Sid 89'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 18, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Pedro Machado 13' yellowcard
  • Jiri Nissinen 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 42'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Lahden Kisapuisto
  • Otso Koskinen 4' goal
  • Colin Odutayo 41' goal
  • Riku Selander 49' yellowcard
  • Julius Tauriainen 60' goal
  • Samuel Pasanen 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Enqvist 52'
  • yellowcard Eero-Matti Auvinen 59'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cardoso 69'
  • yellowcard Patrik Raitanen 70'
  • redcard Patrik Raitanen 80'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Elmo Henriksson 21' redcard
  • Timi Lahti 27' yellowcard
  • Alan Henrique 38' yellowcard
  • Jiri Nissinen 45'+2' redcard
  • Aly Ndom 84' yellowcard
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 23, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Lahden Stadion
  • Bubacar Djalo 21' yellowcard
  • Teemu Penninkangas 68' yellowcard
  • Mikko Kuningas 75' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Ngamba 32'
  • goal Luka Simunovic 90' (OG)
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2023 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • Timi Lahti 19' goal
  • Samuel Anini Jr 55' goal
  • goal Tommi Jantti 50'
  • goal Altin Zeqiri 77'
  • goal Juho Pirttijoki 81'