Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.