Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bolt Arena
  • Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 43' goal
  • Alexander Ring 60' yellowcard
  • Lassi Lappalainen 71' yellowcard
  • Mads Borchers 83' goal
  • Martin Elias Kirilov 84' yellowcard
  • Martin Elias Kirilov 85' yellowcard
  • goal Maksim Stjopin 21'
  • goal Maksim Stjopin 60'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 62'
  • yellowcard Anton Popovitch 62'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 76'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 76'
  • yellowcard Suvanne Sebastian 76'

HJK Helsinki vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
TPS 1 - 0 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
Ilves 1 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

HJK Helsinki 44.96% (-3.54)
Draw 23.21% (+0.02)
Ilves 31.84% (+3.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.99% (+0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.55% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 18.45% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 60.51% (+0.88)
Under 2.5 39.49% (-0.88)
Over 3.5 37.51% (+1.11)
Under 3.5 62.44% (-1.15)
Over 4.5 22.91% (+1.04)
Under 4.5 77.09% (-1.04)

First Half Winner

HJK Helsinki 36.16% (-2.59)
Draw 36.78% (-0.18)
Ilves 27.06% (+2.76)

Team To Score First

HJK Helsinki 51.38% (-5.26)
No Goal 4.7% (-0.01)
Ilves 43.92% (+5.28)

Corners

Over 8 62.35% (-5.67)
Equal 8 11.06% (+0.63)
Under 8 26.59% (+5.04)
Over 9 50.65% (-5.75)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.09)
Under 9 37.65% (+5.66)
Over 10.5 39.34% (-5.30)
Under 10.5 60.66% (+5.30)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 1.5 48.27% (-2.29)
Under 1.5 51.73% (+2.29)
Over 2.5 23.5% (-1.49)
Under 2.5 76.5% (+1.49)
Over 3.5 9.36% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 90.64% (+0.58)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 68.56% (+2.63)
Under 0.5 31.44% (-2.63)
Over 1.5 37.12% (+3.40)
Under 1.5 62.88% (-3.40)
Over 2.5 15.83% (+2.61)
Under 2.5 84.17% (-2.61)
Over 3.5 5.45% (+1.11)
Under 3.5 94.55% (-1.11)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 44.96%
Draw 23.2%
Ilves 31.83%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.39)
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.57)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.86)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.49)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.54)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.08)
Other @ 9.2% (-0.65)
Total : 44.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.06)
Total : 23.2%
Ilves
1-2 @ 7.44% (+0.42)
0-1 @ 6.21% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 4.25% (+0.48)
1-3 @ 3.57% (+0.57)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.46)
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.31)
Other @ 5.29% (+1.04)
Total : 31.83%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 30, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 29, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 11, 2025 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 5, 2025 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 38' goal
  • Santeri Hostikka 68' goal
  • Otto Tiitinen 77' goal
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 4'
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 14'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kanellopoulos 42'
  • yellowcard Jere Kallinen 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lee Erwin 15' yellowcard
  • Kevor Palumets 52' yellowcard
  • Liam Moller 78' yellowcard
  • Atomu Tanaka 79' yellowcard
  • Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 52'
  • goal Roope Riski 82'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 6, 2024 1.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Joona Veteli 4' goal
  • Santeri Haarala 13' goal
  • Roope Riski 54' yellowcard
  • Joona Veteli 59' yellowcard
  • Roope Riski 77' goal
  • Aapo Maenpaa 88' yellowcard
  • Aapo Maenpaa 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Tomas 54'
  • yellowcard Topi Keskinen 85'