Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.