Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.