Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Theodoros Tsirigotis 51' goal
  • Miika Kauppila 60' yellowcard
  • Tobias Karkulowski 73' yellowcard
  • Lasse Ikonen 73' yellowcard
  • Akim Sairinen 83' yellowcard
  • Tomi Väkiparta 83' yellowcard
  • Tomi Väkiparta 86' yellowcard
  • Akim Sairinen 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 34'
  • yellowcard Teemu Pukki 57'
  • yellowcard D. Ezeh 76'
  • yellowcard Lassi Lappalainen 77'
  • yellowcard Toivo Mero 77'

TPS vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Jaro 2 - 2 TPS
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Theodoros Tsirigotis

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 0 Lahti
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for TPS had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest TPS win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

TPS 33.94% (-0.06)
Draw 24.85% (+0.06)
HJK Helsinki 41.2% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.93% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 20.07% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 57.37% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.63% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.97% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.03% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.46% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 79.54% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

TPS 29.71%
Draw 38.91% (-0.03)
HJK Helsinki 31.38% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

TPS 43.16% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.2% (+0.01)
HJK Helsinki 51.64%

Corners

Over 8 58.56%
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 29.3%
Over 9 46.06% (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.5% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.44%
Over 10.5 34.39%
Under 10.5 65.61%

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 38.38% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.62% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.81% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.19% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.48%
Under 3.5 94.52%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 75.25%
Under 0.5 24.75%
Over 1.5 44.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.92% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20%
Under 2.5 80%
Over 3.5 7.39% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.61% (-0.02)

Score analysis

TPS 33.94%
Draw 24.85%
HJK Helsinki 41.2%
TPS
2-1 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.36%
Other @ 5.36% (-0.01)
Total : 33.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 24.85%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.55%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.27%
Total : 41.2%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Sep 24, 2020 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lucas Lingman 21' yellowcard
  • Tim Vayrynen 24' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Schuller 44' yellowcard
  • Riku Riski 56' goal
  • Valtteri Moren 64' yellowcard
  • Tim Vayrynen 66' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos de Brito 68'
  • goal Mika Aaritalo 87'
  • goal Rasmus Holma 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jul 22, 2020 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Niklas Pyyhtia 38' yellowcard
  • Albijon Muzaci 55' yellowcard
  • Juhani Pikkarainen 57' yellowcard
  • Albijon Muzaci 58' redcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Ostojic 4'
  • goal Tim Vayrynen 9'
  • goal Roope Riski 77'
  • yellowcard Bubacar Djalo 87'