Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 22, 2026 5.00pm
Hietalahden jalkapallostadion

Vaasan Palloseura vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 18, 2026 4.00pm
Lahti 1 - 1 VPS
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Vilmer Rönnberg

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 16, 2026 12.00pm
HJK Helsinki 2 - 2 Ilves
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Teemu Pukki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura has a probability of 34.52% and a draw has a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win is 2-1 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11%).

Result

Vaasan Palloseura 34.52% (+0.09)
Draw 24.87% (-0.01)
HJK Helsinki 40.66% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.86% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.39% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 60.41%
Under 2.5 39.59%
Over 3.5 38.15% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 61.85% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 23.06%
Under 4.5 76.94%

First Half Winner

Vaasan Palloseura 30.31%
Draw 36.07% (-0.04)
HJK Helsinki 33.62% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Vaasan Palloseura 44.1% (+0.08)
No Goal 4.68%
HJK Helsinki 51.22% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 68.25% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.08% (+0.01)
Under 8 21.67% (+0.02)
Over 9 57.08% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 31.75% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 45.74% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 54.26% (+0.02)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 1.5 40.38% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.62% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.88% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.55% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.45% (-0.01)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 75.4% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.6% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 45.78% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.22% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 21.55% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 78.45% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.5% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 34.52%
Draw 24.87%
HJK Helsinki 40.65%
Vaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 7.74%
1-0 @ 6.72% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.55% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.19% (+0.03)
Total : 34.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 6.82%
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.36% (-0.02)
Total : 24.87%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.14%
Total : 40.65%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Jul 5, 2025 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 26, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Teemu Pukki 4' goal
  • Pyry Mentu 45'+1' goal
  • Benji Michel 88' goal
  • Hassane Bande 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Prosper Ahiabu 38'
  • redcard Prosper Ahiabu 41'
  • goal Alfie Cicale 62'
  • yellowcard Maissa Fall 76'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Prosper Ahiabu 44' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lindeman 73' goal
  • Emmanuel Ifeanyi Ogude 77' yellowcard
  • Mikko Pitkanen 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Erwin 33'
  • yellowcard Noah Pallas 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lingman 79'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Antzoulas 86'
  • yellowcard Thijmen Nijhuis 90'
  • yellowcard Mikko Pitkanen 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Sep 1, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Jesper Engstrom 5' goal
  • Yevgeni Bashkirov 61' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Meriluoto 10'
  • yellowcard Hassane Bande 12'
  • goal Kai Meriluoto 50'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kanellopoulos 54'
  • goal Lee Erwin 83'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 7
May 17, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lucas Lingman 73' yellowcard
  • Luke Plange 90'+1' goal
  • goal Mads Borchers 29'
  • goal Antti-Ville Raisanen 66'
  • yellowcard Jussi Nuorela 90'
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Elisa Stadion
  • Yevgeni Bashkirov 2' goal
  • Peter Godly Michael 14' goal
  • Prosper Ahiabu 57' yellowcard
  • Peter Godly Michael 90'+4' goal
  • goal Hassane Bande 40'
  • goal Bojan Radulovic 78'