Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.