Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.92% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%) , while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.