World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 7pm UK

28 March Stadium

Sudan
1 - 1
South Sudan

Eisa (76')
Eisa (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Omot Sebit (90+9', 90+8')
Gama (84'), Omot Sebit (90+9')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Sudan and South Sudan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Sudan 0-0 Senegal
Saturday, March 22 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

South Sudan

Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 South Sudan
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Sudan	Draw	South Sudan
52.75% ( 0.17)	27.02% ( -0.07)	20.23% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 41.05% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.95% (

0.13)

62.05% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.23% (

0.09)

81.77% (

-0.09)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

0.13)

23.83% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99% (

0.19)

58.01% (

-0.19)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.89% (

-0.03)

46.11% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.19% (

-0.02)

81.81% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sudan 52.74%

South Sudan 20.23%

Draw 27.01%

Sudan	Draw	South Sudan
1-0 @ 15.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 52.74%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 20.23%