Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.