World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 3.00am
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium

Paraguay vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 4.00am
Turkey 0 - 1 Paraguay

Australia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 19, 2026 8.00pm
USA 2 - 0 Australia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Paraguay has a probability of 35.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Australia win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Paraguay win is 1-0 (10.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.74%).

Result

Paraguay 35.55% (+0.05)
Draw 26.85% (-0.15)
Australia 37.6% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.6% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.2% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 28.8% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 45.6% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 54.4% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 24.25% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 75.75% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 12.63% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 87.37% (-0.19)

Paraguay Goals

Over 1.5 33.37% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 66.63% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 12.24% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 87.76% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 3.59% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.41% (-0.05)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 69.26% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 30.74% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 35.09% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 64.91% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 13.42% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 86.58% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 4.14% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.86% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Paraguay 35.54%
Draw 26.84%
Australia 37.6%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.83% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.2% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.51% (+0.06)
Total : 35.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.03)
Total : 26.84%
Australia
0-1 @ 10.4% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.09% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.47% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.06% (+0.09)
Total : 37.6%