Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.