World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 4
Jun 9, 2025 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Romelu Lukaku 15' goal
  • Youri Tielemans 19' goal
  • Jeremy Doku 27' goal
  • Maxim De Cuyper 31' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 41' yellowcard
  • Rudi Garcia 85' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 88' goal
  • Nicolas Raskin 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 17'
  • goal Sorba Thomas 51'
  • goal Harry Wilson 45'+7'
  • goal Brennan Johnson 69'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 79'
  • yellowcard Harry Wilson 82'

Belgium vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 7.45pm
N. Macedonia 1 - 1 Belgium

Wales

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 7.45pm
Wales 3 - 0 Liechtenstein

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw has a probability of 22.8% and a win for Wales has a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Wales win it is 0-1 (5.99%).

Result

Belgium 58.63% (-1.87)
Draw 22.8% (+0.47)
Wales 18.58% (+1.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.98% (+1.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.16% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 48.84% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 29.06% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 70.94% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 14.03% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 85.97% (-0.15)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 83.66% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 16.34% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 54.06% (-1.01)
Under 1.5 45.94% (+1.01)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5 59.74% (+1.82)
Under 0.5 40.26% (-1.82)
Over 1.5 23.11% (+1.61)
Under 1.5 76.89% (-1.61)

Score analysis

Belgium 58.62%
Draw 22.79%
Wales 18.58%
Belgium
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.35)
2-0 @ 10.79% (-0.53)
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.45)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 58.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.47% (+0.23)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.79%
Wales
0-1 @ 5.99% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 4.93% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 2.72% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 1.5% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.14)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.58%

Head to Head

Nations League
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kevin De Bruyne 10' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 37' goal
  • goal Kieffer Moore 50'
Nations League
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Rodon 55' yellowcard
  • Rhys Norrington-Davies 68' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 86' goal
  • yellowcard Yannick Carrasco 45'+1'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 51'
  • yellowcard Arthur Theate 61'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kieffer Moore 32' goal
  • Joe Morrell 34' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 80' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 12'
  • yellowcard Thorgan Hazard 71'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 75'
  • yellowcard Leander Dendoncker 82'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Kevin De Bruyne 22' goal
  • Thorgan Hazard 28' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 73' goal
  • Thorgan Hazard 75' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Wilson 10'
European Championship
Jul 1, 2016 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Pierre Mauroy
  • Ben Davies 5' yellowcard
  • James Chester 16' yellowcard
  • Chris Gunter 24' yellowcard
  • Ashley Williams 31' goal
  • Hal Robson-Kanu 55' goal
  • Aaron Ramsey 75' yellowcard
  • Sam Vokes 86' goal
  • goal Radja Nainggolan 13'
  • yellowcard Marouane Fellaini 59'
  • yellowcard Toby Alderweireld 85'
European Championship
Jun 12, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gareth Bale 25' goal
  • Joe Allen 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Lombaerts 59'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups