Belgium national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Wales national football team

Belgium
4 - 3
Wales

Lukaku (15' pen.), Tielemans (19'), Doku (27'), De Bruyne (88')
De Cuyper (31'), Trossard (41'), Garcia (85'), Raskin (90')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Wilson (45+7' pen.), Thomas (51'), Johnson (69')
Ampadu (17'), Mepham (79'), Wilson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Belgium and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Wales could line up for Monday's World Cup qualifying clash with Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Belgium 3-0 Ukraine
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Belgium
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-1 Wales
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Next Game: Wales vs. Liechtenstein
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw has a probability of 22.8% and a win for Wales has a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Wales win it is 0-1 (5.99%).

Result
BelgiumDrawWales
58.63% (-1.869 -1.87)22.8% (0.465 0.47)18.58% (1.407 1.41)
Both teams to score 49.98% (1.196 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (0.23999999999999 0.24)48.84% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06% (0.217 0.22)70.94% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (-0.55 -0.55)16.34% (0.552 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06% (-1.005 -1.01)45.94% (1.007 1.01)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (1.812 1.81)40.26% (-1.81 -1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (1.61 1.61)76.89% (-1.608 -1.61)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 58.62%
    Wales 18.58%
    Draw 22.79%
BelgiumDrawWales
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 10.79% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.445 -0.45)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.227 0.23)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.234 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.336 0.34)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.233 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.58%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Belgium
2-1
Wales
De Bruyne (10'), Batshuayi (37')
Moore (50')
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Wales
1-1
Belgium
Johnson (86')
Rodon (55'), Norrington-Davies (68')
Tielemans (51')
Carrasco (45+1'), Theate (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Wales
1-1
Belgium
Moore (32')
Morrell (34'), Moore (80')
De Bruyne (12')
Hazard (71'), Saelemaekers (75'), Dendoncker (82')
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belgium
3-1
Wales
De Bruyne (22'), Hazard (28'), Lukaku (73' pen.)
Hazard (75')
Wilson (10')
Jul 1, 2016 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Wales
3-1
Belgium
Williams (31'), Robson-Kanu (55'), Vokes (86')
Davies (5'), Chester (16'), Gunter (24'), Ramsey (75')
Nainggolan (13')
Fellaini (59'), Alderweireld (85')
rhs 2.0


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