World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tose Proeski Arena
  • Nikola Serafimov 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Bojan Miovski 90'+1' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 80'
  • yellowcard Jordan James 90'+4'
  • goal David Brooks 90'+6'

North Macedonia vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 2.00pm
Liechtenstein 0 - 3 N. Macedonia

Wales

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 7.45pm
Wales 3 - 1 Kazakhstan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Wales had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

North Macedonia 44.26% (-0.33)
Draw 28.46% (+0.05)
Wales 27.28% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.88% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.13% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 61.86% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.36% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 81.63% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 7.41% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 92.58% (+0.02)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 72.13% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 27.87% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 36.52% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 63.47% (+0.24)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5 60.84% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 39.16% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 24.13% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 75.87% (-0.20)

Score analysis

North Macedonia 44.26%
Draw 28.46%
Wales 27.28%
North Macedonia
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 44.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.91% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.46%
Wales
0-1 @ 10.23% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.13% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.8% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.5% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 27.28%

Head to Head

World Cup
Oct 11, 2013 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Declan John 58' yellowcard
  • Simon Church 67' goal
  • Neil Taylor 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vance Sikov 80'
World Cup
Sep 6, 2013 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ivan Trickovski 20' goal
  • Nikola Gligorov 39' yellowcard
  • Kire Ristevski 40' yellowcard
  • Goran Pandev 45' yellowcard
  • Jovan Kostovski 49' yellowcard
  • Agim Ibraimi 58' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Trajkovski 80' goal
  • yellowcard David Vaughan 19'
  • yellowcard Craig Bellamy 20'
  • goal Aaron Ramsey 39'
  • yellowcard Ashley Williams 45'
  • yellowcard Andrew Crofts 77'