North Macedonia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
Wales national football team

N. Macedonia
1 - 1
Wales

Miovski (90+1')
Serafimov (45+2'), Miovski (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brooks (90+6')
Rodon (80'), James (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-3 N. Macedonia
Saturday, March 22 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 3-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Wales had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawWales
44.26% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)28.46% (0.048999999999999 0.05)27.28% (0.269 0.27)
Both teams to score 43.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)61.86% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.36% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)81.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.18799999999999 -0.19)27.87% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-0.241 -0.24)63.47% (0.239 0.24)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (0.205 0.2)39.16% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (0.194 0.19)75.87% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 44.26%
    Wales 27.28%
    Draw 28.46%
North MacedoniaDrawWales
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 27.28%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Wales

North Macedonia
39.8%
Draw
16.3%
Wales
43.9%
123
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2013 7.45pm
Sep 6, 2013 7pm
rhs 2.0


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